It’s Thursday fellas, and with the weekend right around the corner, we have some intriguing matchups that could end up making or breaking these teams who are fighting for their playoff lives.
Rosters lock at 1:08 pm CST, so make sure everything is set and entered by then. In order to help you find that combination of players that’ll get you to the top of your GPPs, this article will focus on breaking down which teams have favorable matchups, and which combination of players within those teams are best suited to take advantage and get us in the green.
Houston Astros vs Frankie Montas (OAK)
I can sense the eyes rolling through my screen as I type this: “Of course you’d write up your hometown team.” Trust me. It’s my job to put you guys in the best positions to win money, and the Astros will help us do so today. With their proverbial back against the wall, Oakland will send right-handed dealer Frankie Montez to the hill in H-Town in an attempt to keep the World Series hopes of the A’s fans alive.
As much as it will pain Frank to hear, Montas does not have the stuff to keep the hot Astros sticks at bay, no pun intended (get it? Oakland? Bay? Anyway…). Montas sports a 5.60 ERA along with giving up 1.70 HR/9 and a 35.3% hard hit ratio.
When you dig into his L/R splits, the clouds further darken over Montas. For example, here are his numbers to lefties: .444 wOBA, 2.38 HR/9, 6.41 FIP and a 28.7% LD rate. So while Montas’ overall numbers justify playing Astros righties in and of themselves, the Houston lefties should be poised to unleash hell at Minute Maid Park, it’s there where I’d start my stack building: Brantley, Tucker, Reddick, Springer
Tampa Bay Rays vs Jordan Montgomery (NYY)
Remember the days of the not-so-distant past when seeing the Yankees in the playoffs meant watching the likes of Roger Clemens, Mike Mussina or Andy Pettite take the bump? Sadly, for the pinstriped faithful, those days are long gone.
Today the Yanks send Jordan Montgomery out to toe the rubber versus the Rays. This season, Montgomery struggled to be effective by posting a 5.11 ERA overall, and although he does a good job of leaning on the strikeout to limit damage, hits and runs can start to pile up against a pesky offense like the Rays. Of course, Monty’s struggles come against right-handed hitters, and when you consider all the right handed sticks Tampa can run out today, it’s easy to see this going South for the Yanks.
Here’s a sample of Montgomery’s stats vs RHH: .278 BA, .328 wOBA, 1.91 HR/9 and a 36% FB rate. I rode the Rays against lefties all season and I won’t stop today: Pick your favorite 5 from Brosseau, Diaz, Adames, Renfroe, Arozarena, Zunino (also don’t hate B. Lowe in a L/L matchup)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs SD Padres Bullpen
Today the Padres presumably will roll out Luis Patino as an opener, followed by Adrian Morejohn who will serve as the primary pitcher for as long as he lasts. Both Patino and Morejohn are lefties, and while the Dodgers do not perform as well as a team versus southpaws, the Dodgers hitters should be licking their chops.
Patino is flat out bad, like 4.66 ERA and 1.76 WHIP bad. He does a horrible job at limiting base runners, and is equally as bad at keeping them from crossing the dish. While Morejohn is better overall, he’s certainly no one to fear. That’s especially true when you look at Morejohn’s stats at home this season.
Check these home numbers out: .477 wOBA, .324 BA, .794 SLG. Not to mention he’s averaging well over 3 HR/gm to both sides of the plate.
Literally anyone the Dodgers stick in their starting 9 is in play today, but I would focus on the RHH (Betts, Turner, Smith, Pollock, Hernandez), but don’t be scared to mix in some lefties too (Seager and Bellinger specifically)
Those are my favorite stacks for the day. If you would like to see the full MLB playoff content (hitting ranks and pitching stat sheet) along with content for all other sports, get on board with our PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP to get signed up!