“Sittin’ Dead-Red” – MLB Postseason – 10/6/20

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Tuesday afternoon finds us with a nice 4 game slate of playoff baseball, which means we have 8 teams from which to mine our DFS rosters. Rosters lock at 1:08 pm CST, so make sure everything is set and entered by then.

Today there are a few spots that stick out to me as places where we can go to find offense. So, in order to help you find that combination of players that’ll get you to the top of your GPPs, this article will focus on breaking down which teams have the best matchups, and which combination of players within those teams are best suited to take advantage and get us in the green.

Houston Astros vs. Sean Manaea (OAK)

Although Manaea seemed to right the ship somewhat towards the end of this shortened season, his season long stats are more indicative of the type of pitcher he is, and what you can expect out of him this postseason.

The most obvious wart on Manaea is how hard he tends to get hit. This season, his average exit velocity topped 90 mph for the first time in his career. Also, his 7.1% barrel rate has lead to a hard hit rate of 44.6%, both of which are the worst of his 5 MLB seasons.

Trash can or no trash can, that won’t cut it against a surging Astros offense. Houston’s offense ranks in the top half of the majors in runs, hits and RBI versus left handed pitching this season. I’ll be looking for the Astro’s to continue rolling today:  Springer, Altuve, Bregman, Gurriel, Correa (can even use Brantley, Reddick or Tucker in LvL matchups to differentiate)

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Devi Garcia (NYY)

I absolutely love the spot the Rays find themselves in Tuesday as they take on the Yanks young upstart righty Deivi Garcia, who will be making the first postseason appearance of his career. Don’t get it twisted:  Garcia has shown flashes of what his talent level portends for the pinstripes’ future, I just think he’s in way over his head here.

Despite having big league stuff, his lack of experience at the highest level causes him to rattle when things don’t go just so. Like I said, he’s better than a 4.98 ERA, 1.57 HR/9, 46.7% FB  and 40% HC rate, but unfortunately for the Yankee faithful, that’s what he’s got to give today, and I can’t see how the Rays don’t feast. Give me Yandy Diaz, Arozarena, Lowe, Lowe, Wendle (Choi and Margot are in play if they start)

Atlanta Braves vs. Sandy Alcantara (MIA)

In all honesty, Alcantara has been a tough nut to crack this year, and that speaks volumes when you consider how Miami’s general lack of run support can start to weigh on a pitcher’s psyche. However, Alcantara has shown he’s not easily rattled in stressful situations.

Last time he took the hill (which incidentally was his first playoff start), he held the Cubs to 1 run on 3 hits over 6.2 innings pitched. He walked 3 and struck out 4. Those surface numbers are basically indicative of Alcantara’s typical starts this season, but when you dig a little deeper, the few exploitable chinks in his armor become visible.

For starters, his xFIP (4.04) is over a run higher than his ERA (3.00). Further, his line drive rate of 21.6% is the worst his his 3 year Marlins career. All of those are weaknesses the Braves are tailor made to exploit: Atlanta led the league in RBI and OPS against righties, while finishing 2nd in the MLB in both hits and home runs. Fade these fellas at your peril:  Acuna, Feeeman, Ozuna, d’Arnaud,  Swanson (Riley and Markakis are both viable if you need the salary cap relief)

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