It’s October 1st, and the playoffs for this COVID-19 shortened season are in full swing. Although the games have been relatively low scoring for the most part (I’m looking at you Biebs), I fully expect the offense to pick up as teams get deeper into their pitching rotations.
So, in order to help you find that combination of players that’ll get you to the top of your GPPs, this article will focus on breaking down which offenses are in the best matchups, and which combination of players within those offenses are best suited to take advantage and get us in the green.
Chicago White Sox vs. Sean Manaea (OAK)
Let’s address the easiest and most obvious stack of the day first, shall we? The Sox have obliterated lefties all season long. How dominant have they been? Well they have a team OPS of .887 (2nd in MLB), 27 HRs (4th), and 90 runs scored (3rd).
By himself, shortstop and lead off hitter Tim Anderson carries an ISO of .551!!! Further, teammates Yasmani Grandal, James McCann, Jose Abreu and Luis Robert are having ridiculous success vs LHP.
For his part, Manaea is allowing a career high 14.7% HR/FB ratio, and has an overall HC% of 39.3. That means he’s getting hit hard and when the ball gets up in the air, it flies.
Now, overall Manaea is no Chi Chi Gonzalez, but I just don’t think that matters against the White Sox prowess. Don’t over think this. It’s yummy chalk: Anderson, Abreu, Jimenez, Robert, McCann/Grandal (can mix in Madrigal if you need to save salary)
San Diego Padres vs Adam Wainwright (STL)
This is a much better matchup for the Friars than you would expect at first glance. Wain isn’t surface stats are flat out respectable: a season long 3.15 ERA and a meager .220 batting average against might have some running to roster Wainwright as their SP2 tomorrow.
Fortunately, we are not your average bears. We see through the surface stats to the good stuff. Like the fact that Wainwright carries a 4.11 FIP, which is almost a full run higher than his ERA. Also, his BABIP of .247 is the lowest of his career since his rookie season (where he pitched very little).
All of that means one thing: Wainwright has had a horseshoe crammed up his ass this season, and the Padres are just the team to pull it out and beat him over the head with it. The Padres scored 247 runs off of right handed pitching this season, which is the 4th most in MLB.
They were also 4th in team OPS (.815) and 6th in homeruns (68) against righties. Although I wouldn’t blame anyone for starting their stack with Trent Grisham, but I’m going here: Tatis, Machado, Hosmer, Pham, Moreland
Atlanta Braves vs. Luis Castillo (CIN)
I’m sure there are some raised eyebrows at the prospect of stacking against Luis Castillo, but hear me out: the game is being played in Atlanta, and Castillo has allowed 18 earned runs on the road versus just 7 at home. That makes his H/R ERA split 2.05/4.02.
Aside from the home/road splits, lefties have done significantly better against Castillo this season, as he carries a .329 wOBA vs LHH as opposed to the .248 wOBA he is giving up vs righties.
Couple all that with the facts that (a) the Braves scored the 2nd most runs in the MLB this season, (b) Atlanta has 3 credible left handed sticks in their order and (c) getting the Braves at single digit ownership regardless of who they’re facing is a gift, and selling an ATL stack becomes easy as pie: Acuna, Freeman, d’Arnaud (been crushing RHP), Albies, Markakis