Minnesota Vikings (8-3) vs Seattle Seahawks (9-2)
Luke Wilson GTD
Last night was a great game and a ton of members won a nice amount of money as well. Hopefully you guys read the article and won some money as well. As for today, I am actually really excited to watch this game. We have two great teams both fighting for the number one seed in their division.
Vikings are 20th in tempo and Seattle is 18th. With that we can expect this game to move at a moderate pace, but with the O/U from Vegas I think we can expect a fairly fast game, but I would expect a ton of clock to be used. If I was a betting man I would take the under.
RB’s – So here we are another year where we are sort of lost what to do with Seattle’s RB’s. Now Chris Carson has had multiple weeks with 18 carries, but he is having issues with holding on to the damn ball. Last week because of Carson’s fumbling issues, we saw a lot of Rashaad Penny who had a great stat-line 14/ 129/1. The issue with this situation is that we have no idea how it is going to work out. Pete Carroll has not offered any hints and honestly I am feeling a little confused about the situation. In my opinion, I guess I will have a ton of both due to the fact that Seattle will look to pound the ball. Penny is obviously the cheaper RB, but we could see Carson get all the carries unless he fumbles once again.
WR’s – Minnesota is a defense that can be attacked by the passing game and can contain the run game. D.K Metcalf will be lining up with Xavier Rhodes oddly enough this matchup isn’t as scary as we would of thought coming into the season. Rhodes still is someone that I will probably look to avoid, but MME I believe Metcalf is the upside play.
As for Tyler Lockett, he will play quite a bit in the slot where he avoid Rhodes. Lockett will see Rhodes at some point during the game, but I still see him as the safer route if you are looking for the safest WR on Seattle. As for Josh Gordon he played 22 snaps last week where he caught one pass on two targets for 22 yards, he is still very risky (GPP Only). David Moore and Malik Turner are both WR’s that are deep GPP plays only.
TE’s – This situation is something to monitor. Jacob Hollister has turned into a nice target for Russell Wilson and with Minnesota being pretty dominant stopping the run, I do have some interest. Word as of right now is that Luke Willson could be back tonight, which could give Hollister less snaps. Still I plan on having some exposure to Hollister in my lineups
QB – What can we say about Russell Wilson, besides the fact that he is pretty good. He is going to be needed tonight if Minnesota continues to be stout against the run. Now, we all know that the Seahawks don’t throw a ton, but they still grade out very well in the passing game. (Top 5 in NFL pass offense DVOA, pass success rate, and explosive pass percentage).
RB – Dalvin Cook as we all know is a freak and he has played 80% of the snaps. He has had his first healthy year and has shown what he can really do when healthy. He is going to go against a Seattle defense who really hasn’t had to play against an elite RB and I think tonight Cook has a field day. Minnesota is coming off a bye and that will be helpful for Cook, who has shown regression the last few weeks. You didn’t need to read this for me to tell you to PLAY DALVIN COOK.
WR’s – With Adam Thielen in doubt, he can expect Stefon Diggs to continue to get fed. Diggs has a plus matchup vs Tre Flowers and has received 16 targets his last three games. I will be over the field on Diggs. As for Olabsi Johnson, he will continue to step into the WR2 role and the last three weeks he has also been heavily targeted with 15 targets. He is only $2600 and with that amount of volume, I think you would be silly not to have a ton of interest.
TE’s – Now this is where things get real exciting. With Thielen going down, Minnesota has ran a ton of two TE sets. With Seattle being GOD AWFUL vs the TE’s I would not be shocked if we see a huge game from one of the TE’s on Minnesota. Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith are both in play and if you take a peek at a past perfect lineup from a Vikings game you will see that both TEs were in the optimal. Don’t be afraid to play both in the same lineup
QB – Cousins leads the NFL in Passer rating and ranks third in yards per attempt. He is now going against a Seattle team who has a god awful pass rush, which means more time for Cousins to throw the ball. Don’t overthink this, get yourself some Cousins in your lineups.
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Bovada Anytime Scorer Odds
Chris Carson -125
Tyler Lockett -105
Dalvin Cook -180
Diggs/ Metcalf +115
Hollister/ Josh Gordon +225
I can’t stress this enough, take a look at these lineups. Don’t just throw players together and hope they stick. Put a scenario in your head and build based off that scenario
GB/CHI – CPTN ARob / ARod / Cohen / MVS / Graham / Packers D
PIT/NE – CPTN TB12 / Juju / Edelman / Dorsett / Gostkowski / Burkhead
HOU/NO – CPTN Nuke / Watson / Thomas / Ginn / Stills / Lutz
DEN/OAK – CPTN Jacobs / Sanders / Sutton / Williams / Waller / McManus
CAR/TB – CPTN Godwin / Winston / Moore / Samuel / Olsen / Barber
PHI/ATL – CPTN Julio / Wentz / Ryan / Ridley / Agholor / Hollins
CLE/NYJ – CPTN Beckham Jr / Bell / Chubb / Browns D / Seibert / Johnson
TEN/JAX – CPTN Mariota / Fournette / Minshew / Chark / Jags D / Humphries
CLE/LAR – CPTN Kupp / Goff / Cooks / Chubb / Zuerlein / Browns D
CHI/WSH – CPTN Trubisky / Keenum / Richardson / Bears / McLaurin / Gabriel
PHI/GB – CPTN Howard / Adams / Rodgers / Wentz / Graham / Allison
DAL/NO – CPTN Thomas / Kamara / Elliott / Cowboys D / Lutz / Saints D
CIN/PIT – CPTN Conner / Rudolph / Mixon / Johnson / Steelers / Samuels
LAR/SEA – CPTN Kupp / Wilson / Goff / Carson / Everett
IND/KC – CPTN Mahomes / Kelce / Brissett / Mack / Colts D / Pringle
CLE/SF – CPTN Breida / Garoppolo / Kittle / Landry / Coleman / 49ers D
NYG/NE – CPTN NE D / Brady / Edelman / Tate / White / Bolden
PIT/SD – CPTN Conner / Rivers / Williams / Henry / Snell / Steelers D
DET/GB – CPTN Prater / Rodgers / Stafford / Golladay / Kerryon / J Williams
KC/DEN – CPTN Chiefs D / Hill / Kelce / Sutton / Sanders / Freeman
PHI/DAL – CPTN Zeke / Prescott / Cooper / Cowboys D / Maher / Goedert
NYJ/NE – CPTN Pats D / Edelman / Michel / White / Dorsett / Demaryius Thomas
WSH/MIN – CPTN Cook / Diggs / Vikings D / Peterson / Bailey / Hopkins
GB/KC – CPTN Jones / Rodgers / Moore / J Williams / Hardman / D Williams
MIA/PIT – CPTN Juju / Conner / Fitz / Johnson / Boswell / Hurns
ARI/SF – CPTN Drake / Jimmy G / Kyler / Kittle / Sanders / Isabella
NE/BAL – CPTN Edelman / Lamar / Ingram / White / Sanu / Boyle
DAL/NYG – CPTN Dak / Cooper / Jones / Cowboys D / Witten / Maher
LAC/OAK – CPTN MG3 / Rivers / Jacobs / Allen / Ekeler / Raiders
MIN/DAL – CPTN Cobb / Cook / Dak / Cooper / Rudolph / Irv Smith
SEA/SF – CPTN Carson / Wilson / Jimmy G / 49ers / Deebo / Hollister