Baltimore Ravens (11-2) vs New York Jets (5-8)
o/u 45.0
Baltimore -16
Injuries
New York Jets – Bilal Powell and Ryan Griffin out, Demaryius Thomas doubtful, Ty Montgomery questionable. Jamal Adams is also out and also both starting cornerbacks are also out.
Baltimore Ravens – Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews were reportedly dealing with injuries, but both seem to be good to go tonight.
Tempo– Both teams are fairly slow when it comes to pushing the tempo. Which explains the low total in my opinion.
Baltimore
RB’s – The Ravens are known to run the ball and the Jets are sitting at 2nd best in the league allowing 79 rushing yards per game. Regardless I believe the Ravens will put the Jets to the test tonight.
Mark Ingram is coming off a 33 snap week, Gus Edwards 20 snaps, and Justice Hill 6 snaps. Game theory is basically telling us that the Ravens should get out to a heavy lead and this will mean more run game will be used.
As we also know Jackson is also known to run the ball quite often and so even though he may not be throwing as often, he will still use his legs if needed.
WR’s – The Ravens run the lowest amount of pass plays in the league, but with the tough matchup against the Jets we could see a possibility of more throws than usual. Marquise Brown has shown that he can break the slate on just about 3 catches for over 100 yards. He is going against a banged up secondary and should find his way to the end zone.
Willie Snead and Seth Roberts are the other options for Baltimore, both are not super exciting. If I had to pick one it would be Willie Snead who has gotten quite a few red zone targets.
TE’s – Andrews left the game early on Sunday, but he looks to be good to go tonight. He leads the team in just about every offensive category and should be utilized quite a bit tonight.
Hayden Hurst and Nick Boyle, both continue to get looks in the passing game but both are pretty much dart throws tonight. Hurst has shown his upside and Boyle is just a guy who gets 1-3 targets a game.
QB – Jackson, really don’t know what to say. He’s good and will be popular tonight. If you’re playing one lineup LOCK HIM IN. In MME I could see the reason to think about different game theories and fade him in a lineup or two.
Jets
RB’s – No Powell, and Montgomery is questionable, and Le’Von Bell is back. Bell has looked like absolute shit with his 3.2 YPC and he doesn’t seem to really care. Tonight we can think of game theory with Bell though. Jets are underdogs and in PPR formats I wouldn’t be shocked if Bell was given 5-6 targets.
I don’t love Bell, but if you are stacking the Jets side I would want him in a few Jets stacks.
WR’s – With the Jets being underdogs tonight, I believe Jamison Crowder and Robby Anderson are both in play. Stack them both with Darnold and call it a day.
QB – Again game script shows that Darnold is going to have to throw the ball often. He is averaging 7.0 YPA attempt and is going to play catch up all game.
Of course, the Ravens secondary is not something that can be easily be attacked, so this game could get ugly quickly for the Jets. Regardless if you’re running Jets stacks, Darnold needs to be locked in.
TE’s – Griffin has already been declared out and so the Jets will be running TE’s Daniel Brown and Trevon Wasco. Baltimore is stout vs defending the TE position and so both of these plays are nothing more than dart throws.
Overall, I believe this game is going to get ugly fairly quickly. I love Ingram correlation with Ravens D and I am also really digging the Jets stack based on game script. Get creative tonight!
Bovada Anytime Scorer
Lamar Jackson/ Mark Ingram -160
Marquise Brown +115
Le’Von Bell +120
Mark Andrews +145
Robby Anderson +250
Tier 1– Lamar Jackson/ Marquise Brown/ Ravens D
Leverage– Mark Ingram/ Mark Andrews/ Robby Anderson
Tier 2– Gus Edwards/ Justin Tucker/ Willie Snead/ Le’Von Bell/ Sam Ficken/ Sam Darnold/ Jamison Crowder
Perfect Lineups
GB/CHI – CPTN ARob / ARod / Cohen / MVS / Graham / Packers D
PIT/NE – CPTN TB12 / Juju / Edelman / Dorsett / Gostkowski / Burkhead
HOU/NO – CPTN Nuke / Watson / Thomas / Ginn / Stills / Lutz
DEN/OAK – CPTN Jacobs / Sanders / Sutton / Williams / Waller / McManus
CAR/TB – CPTN Godwin / Winston / Moore / Samuel / Olsen / Barber
PHI/ATL – CPTN Julio / Wentz / Ryan / Ridley / Agholor / Hollins
CLE/NYJ – CPTN Beckham Jr / Bell / Chubb / Browns D / Seibert / Johnson
TEN/JAX – CPTN Mariota / Fournette / Minshew / Chark / Jags D / Humphries
CLE/LAR – CPTN Kupp / Goff / Cooks / Chubb / Zuerlein / Browns D
CHI/WSH – CPTN Trubisky / Keenum / Richardson / Bears / McLaurin / Gabriel
PHI/GB – CPTN Howard / Adams / Rodgers / Wentz / Graham / Allison
DAL/NO – CPTN Thomas / Kamara / Elliott / Cowboys D / Lutz / Saints D
CIN/PIT – CPTN Conner / Rudolph / Mixon / Johnson / Steelers / Samuels
LAR/SEA – CPTN Kupp / Wilson / Goff / Carson / Everett
IND/KC – CPTN Mahomes / Kelce / Brissett / Mack / Colts D / Pringle
CLE/SF – CPTN Breida / Garoppolo / Kittle / Landry / Coleman / 49ers D
NYG/NE – CPTN NE D / Brady / Edelman / Tate / White / Bolden
PIT/SD – CPTN Conner / Rivers / Williams / Henry / Snell / Steelers D
DET/GB – CPTN Prater / Rodgers / Stafford / Golladay / Kerryon / J Williams
KC/DEN – CPTN Chiefs D / Hill / Kelce / Sutton / Sanders / Freeman
PHI/DAL – CPTN Zeke / Prescott / Cooper / Cowboys D / Maher / Goedert
NYJ/NE – CPTN Pats D / Edelman / Michel / White / Dorsett / Demaryius Thomas
WSH/MIN – CPTN Cook / Diggs / Vikings D / Peterson / Bailey / Hopkins
GB/KC – CPTN Jones / Rodgers / Moore / J Williams / Hardman / D Williams
MIA/PIT – CPTN Juju / Conner / Fitz / Johnson / Boswell / Hurns
ARI/SF – CPTN Drake / Jimmy G / Kyler / Kittle / Sanders / Isabella
NE/BAL – CPTN Edelman / Lamar / Ingram / White / Sanu / Boyle
DAL/NYG – CPTN Dak / Cooper / Jones / Cowboys D / Witten / Maher
LAC/OAK – CPTN MG3 / Rivers / Jacobs / Allen / Ekeler / Raiders
MIN/DAL – CPTN Cobb / Cook / Dak / Cooper / Rudolph / Irv Smith
SEA/SF – CPTN Carson / Wilson / Jimmy G / 49ers / Deebo / Hollister
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