Showcasing the Showdown – Rams vs. Seahawks (SNF)

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Seattle Seahawks (10-2) vs the Los Angeles Rams (7-5)

O/U 48.0

Seattle -1

 

Here we go! We have a division showdown and a must win for both teams. Rams are pretty much playing for their season and we did receive word today that the Rams are planning to unleash Gurley tonight. As for the Seahawks, they are on a roll with a five game winning streak after beating a good Vikings team.

Russell Wilson continues handling business week in and week out, showing how elite he can been the field. The Seahawks are 6-0 on the road and going into LA to play a team fighting to stay alive. As for the Rams, Jared Goff is going to have prove once again that he isn’t a fluke tonight and hopefully Gurley can help relieve some pressure.

Tempo

Seattle loves to run the clock and if they get an early lead, I believe we will continue to see that pace of play. The positive about this matchup is the fact that Seattle truly struggles on defense and the Rams love to play fast! I see a ton of fantasy goodness tonight in this matchup.

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Rams

RB- As mentioned earlier, news was dropped that Todd Gurley would be unleashed tonight. For what it’s worth it seemed like it was already leading that way after receiving 68% of snaps last week. Tonight I am going to assume he could see 90% or more of snaps and that makes him really enticing tonight.

WR’s – Cooper Kupp will see a ton of Akeem King. This is a matchup I believe that Kupp can exploit. Robert Woods who is coming off an 18 target week will have to go against Shaquill Griffin, who by no means is an easy matchup. I don’t believe Woods will continue to see a heavy target load like he saw last week, but I do believe the volume will remain there.

As for Brandin Cooks he is lined up to see a ton of Tre Flowers who everyone considers Seattle’s weak link. Cooks is only seeing 19% of targets, but I believe that changes tonight. Cooks is going to go lower owned than the other WRs and makes a great GPP play tonight.

TE – Tyler Higbee should once again see heavy snaps with Gerald Everett declared out once again. Seattle has been god awful vs the TE position, ranking second in the NFL in points allowed to the position. I am going to assume Higbee will carry high ownership, but I am struggling to not be heavy on him as well.

QB – Jared Goff, here we go Goff is going to have to put it all on the line tonight. He is back home to LA where he tends to perform better. If we were to think of game script tonight, I believe Goff is a no brainer. They are home underdogs, playing at a faster pace, and that is all we need for a decent shot for Goff to hit his ceiling tonight.

 

Seattle

RB’s – Chris Carson/ Rashaad Penny look to splitting carries with Penny after Penny saw 35 out of 75 snaps last week. The last two games Penny has seen 29 carries and at least 20 fantasy points. Tonight Seattle will have to play against a Rams team who has been absolutely stout vs the run, 6th in the league in DVOA vs the run.

Does that mean that they can’t get the score we need? Not at all, Carson is seeing 3 red zone attempts  a game according to football focus Penny is coming off a game where he saw four redone attempts. Regardless of the matchup you can’t fade volume.

WR’s – Tyler Lockett still remains to have the highest target share, but has not topped six fantasy points the last three weeks. He is coming off a game where he had zero receptions and this could be concerning for the Seahawks tonight. Lockett tonight will see a ton of Jalen Ramsey, who has had his struggles so far this season with the Rams. Regardless, I hate targeting good corners such as Ramsey, but the volume will still be there for Lockett so I will have exposure in GPPs.

D.K. Metcalf is set to line up against Troy Hill (5’10) who I believe will have his struggles vs 6’4 Metcalf. Metcalf is seeing about 20% of the target share and I believe is the safer play out of the WRS in Seattle. Josh Gordon since signing with Seattle has seen much volume at all. He has seen 5 targets in three games and only seeing one last week. Gordon is nothing more than a deep GPP play.

TE’s – Jacob Hollister who has been pretty effective after taking over as the starting TE for Seattle. He is getting about 5.2 targets a game and atlas 1 redone target. This matchup with the Rams by no means is a great one, but if you are running lineups based off the game script that Seattle will be playing from behind, I believe he is a fine play. I still expect volume and at his price, he is worth the risk in GPP’s (MME).

QB –You don’t need me to tell you that Russell Wilson is in play tonight. With the Rams handling business stopping the run, I firmly believe we will see more scrambles and passing from Wilson tonight. If you’re playing one lineup lock in Russell Wilson, if you’re playing multiple don’t be afraid to fade in a few.

 

Bovada Anytime TD scorer

Todd Gurley -135

Chris Carson -110

Cooper kupp +130

D.K Metcalf +115

Jacob Hollister +180

Woods/ Penny/ Higbee +190

 

Tier 1- Todd Gurley, Russell Wilson, Jarred Goff, Cooper Kupp

Leverage plays- Tyler Higbee, Jacob Hollister, Brandin Cooks,

Tier 2- Robert Woods, Chris Carson, Rashaard Penny

 

Perfect lineups

 

GB/CHI – CPTN ARob / ARod / Cohen / MVS / Graham / Packers D

PIT/NE – CPTN TB12 / Juju / Edelman / Dorsett / Gostkowski / Burkhead

HOU/NO – CPTN Nuke / Watson / Thomas / Ginn / Stills / Lutz

DEN/OAK – CPTN Jacobs / Sanders / Sutton / Williams / Waller / McManus

CAR/TB – CPTN Godwin / Winston / Moore / Samuel / Olsen / Barber

PHI/ATL – CPTN Julio / Wentz / Ryan / Ridley / Agholor / Hollins

CLE/NYJ – CPTN Beckham Jr / Bell / Chubb / Browns D / Seibert / Johnson

TEN/JAX – CPTN Mariota / Fournette / Minshew / Chark / Jags D / Humphries

CLE/LAR – CPTN Kupp / Goff / Cooks / Chubb / Zuerlein / Browns D

CHI/WSH – CPTN Trubisky / Keenum / Richardson / Bears / McLaurin / Gabriel

PHI/GB – CPTN Howard / Adams / Rodgers / Wentz / Graham / Allison

DAL/NO – CPTN Thomas / Kamara / Elliott / Cowboys D / Lutz / Saints D

CIN/PIT – CPTN Conner / Rudolph / Mixon / Johnson / Steelers / Samuels

LAR/SEA – CPTN Kupp / Wilson / Goff / Carson / Everett

IND/KC – CPTN Mahomes / Kelce / Brissett / Mack / Colts D / Pringle

CLE/SF – CPTN Breida / Garoppolo / Kittle / Landry / Coleman / 49ers D

NYG/NE – CPTN NE D / Brady / Edelman / Tate / White / Bolden

PIT/SD – CPTN Conner / Rivers / Williams / Henry / Snell / Steelers D

DET/GB – CPTN Prater / Rodgers / Stafford / Golladay / Kerryon / J Williams

KC/DEN – CPTN Chiefs D / Hill / Kelce / Sutton / Sanders / Freeman

PHI/DAL – CPTN Zeke / Prescott / Cooper / Cowboys D / Maher / Goedert

NYJ/NE – CPTN Pats D / Edelman / Michel / White / Dorsett / Demaryius Thomas

WSH/MIN – CPTN Cook / Diggs / Vikings D / Peterson / Bailey / Hopkins

GB/KC – CPTN Jones / Rodgers / Moore / J Williams / Hardman / D Williams

MIA/PIT – CPTN Juju / Conner / Fitz / Johnson / Boswell / Hurns

ARI/SF – CPTN Drake / Jimmy G / Kyler / Kittle / Sanders / Isabella

NE/BAL – CPTN Edelman / Lamar / Ingram / White / Sanu / Boyle

DAL/NYG – CPTN Dak / Cooper / Jones / Cowboys D / Witten / Maher

LAC/OAK – CPTN MG3 / Rivers / Jacobs / Allen / Ekeler / Raiders

MIN/DAL – CPTN Cobb / Cook / Dak / Cooper / Rudolph / Irv Smith

SEA/SF – CPTN Carson / Wilson / Jimmy G / 49ers / Deebo / Hollister

Cle/ Pitt- CPTN Baker/ Rudolph/ Browns D/ Hunt/ Landry/ Samuel

CHI/ LAR- CPTN Gurley/ Gabriel/ Anthony Miller/ Trubisky/ Cohen/ Rams D

KC/ LAC- CPTN Ekleler/ Rivers/ Keenan Allen/ Kele/ Hunter Henry/ McCoy

Ind/ Hou- CPTN Hopkins/ Ebron/ Fuller/ Fairbairn/ Watson/ Jonathan Williams

Gb/ Sf- Kittle/ Jimmy G/ Jamaal Williams/ Raheem Mostert/ Davonte Adams/ Chase McLaughlin

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Travis Vander Loop
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