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Baltimore Ravens vs the Los Angeles Rams
O/U 47.0
Ravens -4/ Rams +4
Before the season started, you could have looked at this game and made the guess the Rams run away with this with ease. Today, well we can say the complete opposite.
Lamar Jackson looks to be the favorite for MVP and the Ravens also look like contenders to win it all this year. As for the Rams, the offensive line is absolute garbage, Gurley is not getting the carries that he was normally getting, and the overall offense of the Rams has taken a major hit.
Today the Rams get Brandin Cooks back with Robert Woods active, which could mean maybe the game stays closer than what people expect. Now all major money is coming on the Ravens, but honestly the Rams at home makes me want to side with the Rams +4.
Game tempo – I expect both teams will play 60-65 plays and I do expect to see some offense on both sides of the ball. The Ravens have had a pretty soft schedule and today would be a big test for the Ravens.
Ravens
Want to start you off with a crazy stat, the Ravens have not punted the ball since November 10th, 2019….INSANE! Shows how great that offense has been with Lamar and honestly, I think the field will agree with that.
Ingram has a tough matchup and the Ravens are using a RB committee, which could make today quite difficult for Ingram to get it done. He would need a TD and positive game script. I don’t think Ingram is a lock tonight and not someone you have to jam into your lineups. Gus Edwards is another guy that people will target in big GPPS which I get, but I highly doubt I will go that route. The matchup still is not great and I see the RBS struggling tonight in this game. Of course if you are MME, I won’t talk you off these guys but I highly doubt I will have much exposure.
Lamar Jackson does not have the best matchup in the world, but I refuse to fade him with the upside that he brings to the table. Marquise Brown is going against Jalen Ramsey, which by no means is a sexy matchup. What Brown does bring to the table is his big play potential, but then again who else on the Ravens could you possibly use? Mark Andrews might have the best matchup on paper vs the Rams, the Rams are 11th in fantasy points allowed. I will most likely be pretty heavy on Andrews.
Miles Boykin, the rookie has some positive air yards, but hasn’t done much fantasy wise to make him a lock. If you are MME, he is worth a shot. Willie Snead meh, not sexy at all. With Snead we are pretty much hoping for a random TD and with that I won’t have much. Nick Boyle has 12 targets in the last 3 games, can’t say it’s an awful play. Hayden Hurst is a fade.
Rams
Today Woods and Cooks will be back and I think that should do wonders for the Rams. Let’s first talk about the man of the hour, Todd Gurley. Gurley last week actually did get 25 carries with 3 catches for about 40 yards. This is the type of volume we need to see from Gurley weekly. Gurley is going to be needed quite a bit today with the Ravens being stout against the pass and with this being said, I will have a heavy dosage of Gurley today. Malcom Brown and D. Henderson nothing more than dart throws.
Goff has me worried about this game as a whole. He sucks under pressure and that OL isn’t helping that at all. The Ravens will continue to pressure QBs who will stand in the pocket all game, which could lead to a shitty game from Goff. Now this is where you can be a little different in tonight’s game. Run a few lineups with Goff and a few Rams in case the good old Goff at home play actually works out. I won’t have much of Goff, but I will not entirely fade him.
Cooper Kupp has one of the toughest matchups for the Rams WRs tonight. He is going to see a ton of Marlon Humphrey and at Kupp’s price, I again won’t have much. Woods is back from a personal leave and we have no idea why he needed the game off last week. Hopefully it doesn’t affect his game play today because he is going to be needed. I won’t say he is a must jam play, but he deserves some ownership.
Brandin Cooks is back and coming off another concussion, this poor guy is literally killing himself with the amount of concussions that he has. Regardless, he is SOOOOO cheap and going against Marcus peters. I will have heavy ownership of Cooks and I firmly believe he will be leaned on quite a bit tonight. Just know, one hit to the head and he is probably done.
Gerald Everett tonight was the first name that really popped in my mind. Yes, the Ravens handle TES pretty well, but I could see tonight as a double digit target type of night for Everett. Goff is going to have to get the ball out quick and Everett will be the guy he targets often.
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Bovada Player props (Anytime TD’s)
Lamar Jackson -110
Mark Ingram -130
Todd Gurley -120
Cooper Kupp +140
Mark Andrews/ Hollywood Brown +145
Brandin Cooks/ Robert Woods +190
Player Tiers
Tier 1 – Lamar Jackson/ Todd Gurley
Leverage plays – G. Everett/ Defenses/ Kickers
Secondary plays – Andrews/ Cooks/ Hollywood Brown
Third Tier plays – Goff/ Ingram/ Kupp/ Woods
Perfect lineups
I cannot stress this enough, when building your lineups you need to put the scenario in your mind on what you think will happen. Just plugging in players and hoping it sticks won’t work. I have found success with MME and looking at perfect lineups.
Following the perfect lineups gives me an idea on how my build should be if I were to go a certain route. I will continue to post the perfect lineups below to give you better understanding on how lineups should look.
GB/CHI – CPTN ARob / ARod / Cohen / MVS / Graham / Packers D
PIT/NE – CPTN TB12 / Juju / Edelman / Dorsett / Gostkowski / Burkhead
HOU/NO – CPTN Nuke / Watson / Thomas / Ginn / Stills / Lutz
DEN/OAK – CPTN Jacobs / Sanders / Sutton / Williams / Waller / McManus
CAR/TB – CPTN Godwin / Winston / Moore / Samuel / Olsen / Barber
PHI/ATL – CPTN Julio / Wentz / Ryan / Ridley / Agholor / Hollins
CLE/NYJ – CPTN Beckham Jr / Bell / Chubb / Browns D / Seibert / Johnson
TEN/JAX – CPTN Mariota / Fournette / Minshew / Chark / Jags D / Humphries
CLE/LAR – CPTN Kupp / Goff / Cooks / Chubb / Zuerlein / Browns D
CHI/WSH – CPTN Trubisky / Keenum / Richardson / Bears / McLaurin / Gabriel
PHI/GB – CPTN Howard / Adams / Rodgers / Wentz / Graham / Allison
DAL/NO – CPTN Thomas / Kamara / Elliott / Cowboys D / Lutz / Saints D
CIN/PIT – CPTN Conner / Rudolph / Mixon / Johnson / Steelers / Samuels
LAR/SEA – CPTN Kupp / Wilson / Goff / Carson / Everett
IND/KC – CPTN Mahomes / Kelce / Brissett / Mack / Colts D / Pringle
CLE/SF – CPTN Breida / Garoppolo / Kittle / Landry / Coleman / 49ers D
NYG/NE – CPTN NE D / Brady / Edelman / Tate / White / Bolden
PIT/SD – CPTN Conner / Rivers / Williams / Henry / Snell / Steelers D
DET/GB – CPTN Prater / Rodgers / Stafford / Golladay / Kerryon / J Williams
KC/DEN – CPTN Chiefs D / Hill / Kelce / Sutton / Sanders / Freeman
PHI/DAL – CPTN Zeke / Prescott / Cooper / Cowboys D / Maher / Goedert
NYJ/NE – CPTN Pats D / Edelman / Michel / White / Dorsett / Demaryius Thomas
WSH/MIN – CPTN Cook / Diggs / Vikings D / Peterson / Bailey / Hopkins
GB/KC – CPTN Jones / Rodgers / Moore / J Williams / Hardman / D Williams
MIA/PIT – CPTN Juju / Conner / Fitz / Johnson / Boswell / Hurns
ARI/SF – CPTN Drake / Jimmy G / Kyler / Kittle / Sanders / Isabella
NE/BAL – CPTN Edelman / Lamar / Ingram / White / Sanu / Boyle
DAL/NYG – CPTN Dak / Cooper / Jones / Cowboys D / Witten / Maher
LAC/OAK – CPTN MG3 / Rivers / Jacobs / Allen / Ekeler / Raiders
MIN/DAL – CPTN Cobb / Cook / Dak / Cooper / Rudolph / Irv Smith
SEA/SF – CPTN Carson / Wilson / Jimmy G / 49ers / Deebo / Hollister
Cle/PITT- CPTN Baker/ Rudolph/ Browns D/ Hunt/ Landry/ Samuel
CHI/LAR- CPTN Gurley/ Gabriel/ Anthony Miller/ Trubisky/ Cohen/ Rams D
KC/LAC- CPTN Ekleler/ Rivers/ Keenan Allen/ Kele/ Hunter Henry/ McCoy
IND/HOU – CPTN Hopkins/ Ebron/ Fuller/ Fairbairn/ Watson/ Jonathan Williams
GB/SF – Kittle/ Jimmy G/ Jamaal Williams/ Raheem Mostert/ Davonte Adams/ Chase McLaughlin
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