Happy Tuesday! Hard to believe this three day weekend went by that fast. My students have been have asleep all day and with no signs of them waking up. Anyways, we have a nice slate today and I have a few arms that can make your builds much easier.
Jack Flaherty vs San Francisco Giants (FD $10,000/DK $10,500)
Flaherty is a -393 favorite and has an implied run total sitting at 2.33 and it has dropped -0.13. Giants are not hitting the ball at all and have a wRC + 70, which is absolutely pathetic. Flaherty has a high strike out possibility in this matchup and should be low owned.
Mike Montgomery vs Detroit Tigers ($7,300 FD/$4,300 DK)
Man, DraftKings must have been drunk when they created this price tag for Montgomery. He is a -137 favorite with an implied run total against sitting at 4.11 and has dropped -0.04. I think we are at that time in the season that we can literally take a shot on just about anyone who is pitching against Detroit.
The Tigers strike out the most in baseball against lefties and they have a WOBA against lefties sitting at .290 (god awful) I don’t mind eating this chalk in this situation.
Mitch Keller vs Miami Marlins ($8,000 FD/$7,200 DK)
Here we go, another pitcher vs Miami. By no means do I think Keller is absolutely safe. He has had his games that he gets absolutely demolished and then he has his games where he puts up GPP take down performances. In this situation I’m locking him in my GPP contests, especially on DK.
He is a home favorite going against a Miami team who strikes out 22% of the time vs RHP. Take the value and run!
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Mike Clevinger TT- 2.49
Zack Grienke TT – 3.94
Merrill Kelly TT- 3.86
John Lester TT- 3.02