Nope, I’m not Frank.
I’ll be stepping in on articles a little more to finish out the season while Frank helps out with some other content over in the Discord channels.
For the third night in a row, the chalk got destroyed. Hopefully you didn’t get sucked into that trap, again. After Houston, Boston and the Dodgers getting set up in smash spots last night, MLB happened and they shit the bed, obviously. One of my YOLO stacks I mentioned in chat yesterday was Baltimore so with some exposure to them and a solid cash lineup I was able to come out in the green last night.
We have a nice little nine game slate tonight before we gear up for the weekend. A few weather concerns in the Nationals/Pirates and Rays/Orioles games so we will have to keep an eye on them leading up to lock.
Now for pitching today, we have Gerrit Cole ($12,000 DK/$12,200 FD) squaring up against the Detroit Tigers. Sounds familiar right? I’d like to say his numbers today look even better than Verlander’s did last night. Every blind squirrel finds a nut some times and the Tigers found it last night. At this time, the Astros are a -490 favorite. No need to get cute here, I’m going Cole in cash tonight for my SP1.
German Marquez vs Saint Louis Cardinals ($10,600 DK/$8,800 FD)
Marquez on the road, Jon Gray at home I always say. While we won’t be able to use Gray anymore I will continue to roster Marquez when he is on the road. This season, he is 7-3 with a 3.52 ERA, compared to 5-2 with a 6.26 ERA at home.
For the season, the Rockies right hander has a 9.2 K/9 ratio with a 4.8 BB%. Pair that up with a 50% ground ball rate and a Cardinals team that is carrying a 25% strike out rate over their past seven games, we have ourselves a nice little pivot off Cole in tournaments.
I LOVE his price on FanDuel. He is my GPP arm over there tonight over Cole.
Kenta Maeda vs Toronto Blue Jays ($8,100/$7,800 FD)
The middle tier is a little weak today, especially on DraftKings. Maeda has been and nothing really points to him as being “safe” but I do think he is a viable option as an SP2 today.
For the season, he carries a 9.71 K/9 with a 1.12 WHIP. Those numbers alone give him a chance to take advantage of a young Blue Jays team who doesn’t have the benefit of using the DH as they travel to a National League park.
Maeda’s Statcast data seems to check out too as he carries a 40.4 ground ball percentage and a 31.1 hard contact rate for the season.
Aaron Civale vs New York Mets ($6,200 DK/$8,500 FD)
This is strictly a DraftKings only play for me in tournaments. On FanDuel, Marquez is only $300 more. I’ll find that money. As for on DraftKings, I’ll take my shot in tournaments so I can get some of my high priced stacks.
One thing I always look at is the salary comparisons between DraftKings and FanDuel. Civale is $2,300 more on FanDuel which usually is sharper on their pitching salaries meaning he is underpriced on DraftKings. On the flipside, you have Marquez who is $1,800 less on FanDuel, meaning he is overpriced on DraftKings.
Anyways, a few numbers on Civale. In four games he carries a 0.96 WIHP with a 38.5 ground ball percentage while not allowing a home runs this year. The Mets have been on fire since the break, so this takes me off him in any cash game considerations.
We have two weeks left of preseason and all that content is free right now in our Discord. We just posted everything to the slates starting tonight so send us a DM so we can get you in there!