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The action has picked up as we have gotten closer to the playoffs. The Bristol night race is one of the best races of the year, and I fully expect to see some playoff implications going down here.
We don’t have any MENCS drivers in the field, but it still has a big name feel with Ryan Sieg, John Hunter Nemechek, Dylan Lupton, Timothy Peters, Parker Kligerman and Raphael Lessard filling some seats this weekend. The truck series has been like a mini-Daytona almost every week this year and I wouldn’t be shocked to see that trend stop as transition into the playoffs. Expect tight racing and plenty of action.
Prediction: After what can only be described as a frustrating season, Johnny Sauter edges out Brett Moffitt in an exciting finish to kick off the triple header weekend.
Where the truck series lacks the prescence of MENCS drivers, the XFINITY series will have a card filled with them
All of Kyle Busch, Joey Logano and Erik Jones will wheel cars in this race. Additionally, we will see here and there drivers such as Shane Lee and Jeb Burton behind the wheel.
I can almost assure you that one of the MENCS drivers will win, and it’s tough to not predict Kyle Busch to be the one. He was dominating this race last year before cutting a tire and ending his night.
Guys like Ryan Sieg and Gray Gaulding feel far too cheap here.
Prediction: I am not going to get cute. I think Kyle Busch is going to dominate.
The Big Show
I am keeping an eye on practice and long run speed, because that, as well as previous results and average running position at Bristol are going to be things I am taking into consideration when it comes to making my pick.
We know the guys who just have a flare for Bristol: Kyle Larson, Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, and, yes, Jimmie Johnson.
The $7,000 price on DraftKings feels a bit confusing for Johnson, but you can’t argue with it because of how poor he has looked for much of the last two and a half years. Still, I would bet on him cracking the top 10 here, and the ability to play him or not will just depend on where he is qualifying.
I would strongly advise to not just box score watch but dig into the stats. A guy like Martin Truex Jr. looks like he has been awful at Bristol, but there have been glimmers of hope. If he doesn’t have issues and he can run a clean race, he could absolutely get the job done. Plus, his short track cherry has been broken.
Prediction: Kyle Larson falls a lap behind after the first stage only to get his lap back and dominate the final stage en route to his first win in two years.