Over the past few weeks, we’ve started to break down the season. We’ve finally started to get into the more relevant teams for fantasy. Here is a look at what we’ve done thus far:
Best of the Rest: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-preview-best-of-the-rest/
Front Row Motorsports: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-preview-front-row-motorsports/
JTG Daugherty Racing: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-dfs-preview-jtg-daugherty-racing/
Chip Gnassi Racing: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-dfs-preview-chip-gnassi-racing/
Richard Childress Racing: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-dfs-preview-richard-childress-racing/
Today, we break down the two card team from Roush-Fenway Racing. This is a team that has made the playoffs in two of the three last seasons, but will move on from one of those drivers this upcoming season.
Ryan Newman will return to pilot the #6 Ford in hopes of making it into the playoffs in back-to-back seasons. He is well known to be the toughest driver in NASCAR to race around, but he does have a wealth of experience that should benefit the team moving forward.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. will be replaced by Christ Buescher, coming off a banner season in 2019. There is a lot of buzz on Buescher as being a sleeper playoff team, and he is admittedly my favorite driver. I think this team will sneak into the playoffs this season.
Let’s break down how we see their season going.
Ryan Newman – #6 Roush Fenway Racing Ford
Average finishes since February 2018:
Short Track: 14
1 Mile: 15.5
1.5 Mile: 18.54
2 Mile: 16.67
2.5 Mile: 13.5
Restrictor Plate: 9.75
Road Course: 19.67
Ryan Newman put in a solid 2019 to take this team to the playoffs after a one-year hiatus. I don’t think anyone really expected it out of the team in general. I do believe that changes in 2020.
First, Newman is an aggressive guy who does not give up. He is an excellent plate racer, which has allowed him the chance to be in the mix to win. Winning an unpredictable race is still a win, and if it propels him into the playoffs, he has the moxy to stay in for a few rounds.
This is a seasoned driver that honestly does not have much upside in the overall scheme of things. In DFS, though, he is a guy that will often times come in underpriced. Last year, he was terrible at qualifying which put him in our lineups on a regular occasion. Things change year to year, but I am hoping things don’t change.
The win equity here outside of plate tracks are extremely low, but he did pull one off in Phoenix a few years back I believe just by staying as close to the front as he could and benefitted from a crazy restart.
Chris Buescher – #17 Roush Fenway Racing Ford
Average finishes since February 2018:
Short Track: 22.67
1 Mile: 21.8
1.5 Mile: 17.58
2 Mile: 20
2.5 Mile: 20.67
Restrictor Plate: 18.25
Road Course: 16
2019 was a banner year for Chris Buescher. No, he did not pick up a win, and I remain confident that it is unlikely in 2020 as well, but the finishes were certainly much better.
For DFS players, Buescher was likely a guy we were smashing in around 50% of the season because he was constantly qualifying much worse than he was finishing. He had an amazing stretch of 16 straight weeks of top 20 victories.
He finished I believe 19th in points, ahead of Ricky Stenhouse Jr., whom he is replacing.
The outlook for Buescher is really tough here. I don’t think he is in improved equipment or anything, but I think the move to a team with a veteran like Ryan Newman should do some good to move him ahead.
He had an average finish of 17.6 last year, and frankly, he likely needs to move that number up to 15 for this year to feel like a success.
I do think he has the chops to make it into the playoffs, but he either needs a very lucky win or to remain amongst the most consistent in the sport.