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Over the past few weeks, we’ve started to break down the season. We’ve finally started to get into the more relevant teams for fantasy. Here is a look at what we’ve done thus far:
Best of the Rest: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-preview-best-of-the-rest/
Front Row Motorsports: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-preview-front-row-motorsports/
JTG Daugherty Racing: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-dfs-preview-jtg-daugherty-racing/
Chip Gnassi Racing: https://dfsheadquarters.com/2020-nascar-dfs-preview-chip-gnassi-racing/
Next up is the two car team at Richard Childress Racing. Last year, Austin Dillon and Daniel Hemric often showed fast vehicles in practice and qualifying, but ultimately fell way back as the race went on. Dillon did perform a bit better in the second half of the season, while Hemric was very inconsistent.
Ultimately, the fact that RCR did not see it viable to move to three cars meant that Reddick was not going to be around to start the year, being replaced by XFINITY Series Champion Tyler Reddick. While he might be in the worst equipment of the three main rookies, I think he also has the highest win equity.
Let’s break down how we see their season going.
Austin Dillon – #3 Richard Childress Racing Chevy
Average finishes since February 2018:
Short Track: 18.87
1 Mile: 19.3
1.5 Mile: 18.17
2 Mile: 12.83
2.5 Mile: 19.17
Restrictor Plate: 16.38
Road Course: 26.67
2019 was not good to Austin Dillon. He’d managed to be a playoff driver the previous two years, winning his way in, but 2019 would not be good to him.
This team actually showed a lot of speed in practice and in qualifying sessions. The problem is, once it came time to hit the track, the speed was gone. It seemed as if he also was involved in a fair amount of accidents.
The second half of the year seemed to be a bit of a turnaround for him. There were less incidents, which led to more positive outcomes. His overall stats the last two years don’t really look bad at all. The problem is, they are heavily weighted from 2018.
I do think this team as a whole will be better in 2020. Tyler Reddick is more ready for the big time than Daniel Hemric was, because he actually won races. I feel like that will push the competitor in Austin Dillon.
I don’t know that outside of plate races we can consider him a threat to win, but he is someone that could definitely try to point his way in.
Tyler Reddick – #8 Richard Childress Racing Chevy
Average finishes since February 2018:
Short Track: N/A
1 Mile: N/A
1.5 Mile: 9
2 Mile: N/A
2.5 Mile: N/A
Restrictor Plate: 27
Road Course: N/A
When you are talking about Tyler Reddick, you are talking about aggression and intensity. Couple that with the knowledge of how to win, and you have someone who can seriously contend in the rookie of the year race in 2020.
I really do believe that Reddick has the highest likelihood of the three to win a race. It’s not because of his equipment, but rather his willingness to push.
It can be somewhat difficult to figure out how to value rookies. I think he is going to be better than both Austin and Hemric from 2019, but his ceiling probably lies around a fringe playoff driver if he does not win a race.
He’s shown the ability to win on crazy tracks like Daytona, making him a solid value pick coming into the season to be the first rookie to win the Daytona 500 in some time.
That wraps things up for this week. Make sure to look for more articles and podcasts on the 2020 NASCAR season.